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40年铁律警示：美债熊市未止，美股大跌才是唯一出路_蜘蛛资讯网

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美股相关性转为负值，即收益率上涨、美股下跌，这一关系当前对投资者至关重要。布达吉安指出，美股持续反弹将倒逼美债收益率继续上行；反之，美股大跌才可能带动收益率回落。　　他援引40年历史数据佐证：美国债券熊市从未在经济或金融市场未现重大动荡前结束，“这次大概率也不会例外”。当前AI驱动的美股牛市与高企的债券收益率形成尖锐矛盾，调整风险积聚。　　美国居民股票持仓规模庞大，占可支配收入比例创历史新高250

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